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How to Maintain a Leading Advantage in 2026

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Company news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and stats covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic development throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region forecasted to outshine its 2025 performance in spite of muted oil earnings and ongoing global unpredictabilities. According to a new Oxford Economics research rundown, GCC GDP growth is expected to increase to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a resilient nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and slowly improving oil output.

But the most recent projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by strengthening domestic need and a broadly steady international background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant chauffeur of the area's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real non reusable incomes are anticipated to sustain a surge in customer costs throughout the Gulf.

Credit growth is likewise anticipated to stay raised as access to financial services broadens. With GCC reserve banks expected to follow awaited United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are most likely to decrease, providing households and businesses even more motivation to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a blended photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more depending on oil extraction. Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and worldwide need improves. Qatar, meanwhile, stands apart as a regional outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports anticipated to raise its total financial efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan expects a 6 percent cut in capital investment as the kingdom intends to narrow its financial deficit by two percentage points. Nevertheless, the report notes that these cuts might not materialise completely if countercyclical costs steps are activated to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their development agendas.

Regardless of shortterm threats tied to oil prices and worldwide demand, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is defined by strength in fundamentals: resilient customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil dynamics, and strategic fiscal planning. With these elements lining up, the area is getting ready for among its most well balanced durations of expansion recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to stay durable in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly consistent international economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC area is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

We anticipate GCC growth will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that financial development in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued development toward diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout performers in 2026 and are anticipated to outshine their global peers.

In December, the IMF further said that heading inflation is anticipated to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is anticipated to stay raised in the GCC area throughout 2026, as access to monetary services is expected to grow and financing is projected to be supported by more cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC central banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by relieving financial policy even more, which in turn will lower financial obligation maintenance costs and boost disposable earnings and demand," stated the report.